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KPK18's avatar
Jun 3Edited

Here's are the four reasons behind my theory why Uber saw it's token costs spin out of control.

1. Users don't have a development plan. They say "Build this" -- and if successful will help the firm -- but with the vaguest of missions/goals, using the highest token consuming engine and then the model grinds and grinds and grinds, eventually providing some output that wasn't intended or was wildly off the mark the user imagined -- assuming the human actually KNEW before hand what was intended. So guess what happens next? The user yells "No, that's not what I want, I want this other thing"...which is equally poorly thought out.

And thus the cycle continues. And continues. And at the end of every conversation, which the user wrongly thinks is getting to the solution, the model says, "want me to do X?" And whether X is a good thing, not a good thing, or unnecessary, the user defaults to yes, and OFF WE GO!!

Vibe coding run amuck, in other words.

2. Users don't know how to write prompts and instructions using well reasoned, precisely phrased, thought through plain language English, and so the model infers, spits back stuff, stuff that isn't useful, and the cycle repeats over and over again.

3. Users employ the models on a whole bunch of non essential tasks, while the user cools his heels. Or they decide to do something with the engine that is 'cool" -- like spinning up a dozen agents to some non essential end, and the token cash register rings continuously.

4. Users like to chat with the models. The models are fun!! And so they chat. And chat. And chat some more. Water cooler conversations without the water cooler.

Other firms are sure to have the same experience, if they haven't already.

Tom's avatar

The NPR study about job loss being a partial mirage is not a well conducted study. They only looked at a single company, and they were looking at data from before the pandemic going forward it seemed. It appears that this unnamed company went through several internal political shifts about hiring and remote work, but this had nothing to do with AI.

The study is trying to say that companies change their hiring policies, and therefore that is possibly maybe kinda if-you-squint and don't look too closely, the reason why the tech job losses look so bad.

This makes no sense. The editor must have been as confused as the study to have printed the story.

Its practically white-washing. Job losses are a myth. Nothing to see here.

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